Let's be blunt. You've seen the headlines. Dogecoin is “ready” for another huge surge, potentially all the way up to $1, or some such silly number like $2.40. Some are even murmuring about a second coming of the mythical 36,000% increase. Before you eff your whole life and YOLO into DOGE, though, let’s inject a little cold, hard reality into this meme-fueled dream.

Sure, Dogecoin has surpassed $0.20. That’s fine for everyone who purchased at the very beginning, or even just last year. Just think about the size of what’s being proposed here. A 36,000% increase from its current price? That’s a current market price of about $72 per DOGE.

Do you understand what that implies? A market capitalization exceeding two trillion dollars. That's more than Apple. More than Microsoft. Over DOUBLE the market cap of the entire crypto market combined at this moment. Is this really what we want to allow — that a cryptocurrency invented as a joke with no underlying utility whatsoever is worth more than the world’s most innovative, profitable companies? We know that sounds too good to be true!

Think about that. Really think about it. We’re not referring to some little cap altcoin that can go 10x. We’re talking about a market dominance that will make Bitcoin look like a rounding error. The simple logistics of that actually happening are, quite frankly, comical.

Here's another inconvenient truth: Dogecoin has an unlimited supply. Unlike Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply of 21 million coins, Dogecoin has no limit and continues to natively mint new coins. Every. Single. Day. This persistent deflation continues to pull the price down. The Dogecoin community is largely progressive. Despite the support of Elon Musk and other high-profile figures, community enthusiasm and the retweet button won’t defeat supply and demand.

It’s a bit like attempting to fill your bathtub while leaving the drain open. You might be able to keep pouring water in all day. It’ll never get high enough for you to ever be able to bathe in it. Dogecoin's unlimited supply is that open drain.

And that’s where the damage lies, because folks are getting sucked into the meme. They’re realizing the possibility for get-rich-overnight schemes, driven in large part by social media buzz and influencer promotion. They're not doing their homework. They're not understanding the underlying economics. They’re indeed not treating Dogecoin like an investment, but more like a lottery ticket.

Make no mistake though, I’m not arguing that Dogecoin shouldn’t appreciate in value. A rally to $1? It's possible. Market sentiment is a very powerful force, particularly in the crypto space. A 36,000% spike? That’s not merely unrealistic, it’s getting close to delusional.

This sounds a lot like the notorious Tulip Mania of 17th century Holland. Shrewd investors speculated, but so did almost every average citizen who were mortgaging their homes to buy tulip bulbs, motivated solely by speculation and fear of missing out. It led to the price of everything climbing way too high, before drastically plummeting, destroying millions of investors in its wake.

Is Dogecoin the new tulip bulb? Look, I’m not advocating that it should be, but the parallels are striking. The same herding behavior, the same irrational exuberance, the same disconnect from fundamental value.

So, what's the takeaway? It's not about hating on Dogecoin. It's about being realistic. It’s not about anti-crypto sentiment, but about acknowledging the immense risks in crypto investing. It’s all about not allowing social media hype to overwhelm your common sense.

It’s understanding that, as attractive and enticing as the dream of quick, easy riches is, the truth is actually much more sobering. Don’t let FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) become FOLO (Fear Of Losing Out).

Before you jump on the Dogecoin bandwagon, ask yourself this: am I investing, or am I gambling? And, importantly, am I willing to risk it all? If the answer to that final question is “no,” then run away, run away.

As always, past performance is no guarantee of future results. And in the crypto world, this is especially true. As ever, do your own research, understand the risks, and invest responsibly. As the brochure says… So that in the end, the only person who’s really looking out for your financial future is you.

This is for informational purposes only. Always contact financial professionals before making any financial decision. Additionally, note that the PT Pintu Kemana Saja operator conforms to crypto asset trading regulated under the Financial Services Authority (OJK), and Bappebti regulates crypto assets futures commodities in PT Porto Komoditi Berjangka.

Is Dogecoin the new tulip bulb? I'm not saying it is, but the parallels are undeniable. The same irrational exuberance, the same herd mentality, the same disconnect from fundamental value.

What's the Real Lesson Here?

So, what's the takeaway? It's not about hating on Dogecoin. It's about being realistic. It's about understanding the risks involved in crypto investing. It's about not letting social media hype cloud your judgment.

It's about recognizing that while the dream of overnight riches is alluring, the reality is often far more sobering. Don't let FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) turn into FOLO (Fear Of Losing Out).

Before you jump on the Dogecoin bandwagon, ask yourself this: am I investing, or am I gambling? And am I prepared to lose everything I put in? If the answer to that last question is "no," then stay far, far away.

Remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. And in the world of crypto, that's truer than ever. Do your own research, understand the risks, and invest responsibly. Because in the end, the only one who's going to look out for your financial well-being is you.

Finally, remember that you should always check with financial professionals before making any decision, and be aware that crypto asset trading is handled by PT Pintu Kemana Saja, licensed and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (OJK), and crypto asset futures contracts are supervised by Bappebti via PT Porto Komoditi Berjangka.