XRP Under Pressure: Buy, Sell, or Hold? Expert Analysis Inside!

XRP, the digital asset of Ripple, the company best known for its enterprise-focus on payment solutions, finds itself in a tenuous market crisis. Further, investors are left in limbo deciding whether to sell, buy back, or continue holding their investments in XRP. This article provides an objective overview of XRP’s current state in the market. It provides practical recommendations based on technical analysis, market sentiment and possible future catalysts.

Overview of XRP Price Predictions

Predicting the future price of any crypto coin is always difficult, and XRP definitely falls into that category. Its price is determined by many factors, such as regulatory news, market psychology, and innovation. Right now, analysts are throwing out all sorts of scenarios from bullish breakouts to bearish corrections. ThrowingToken.com intends to break down these predictions and present a digestible, realistic view for investors in search of stable ground amid this market turmoil.

Current Market Sentiment

Despite the current bullish to bearish market sentiment around XRP, the future looks unpredictable for Ripple. Some analysts warn of potential declines toward $1 or lower, citing technical breakdowns, bearish trader sentiment, and shrinking network activity. Yet to counter this dark landscape, we see mounting hope with the possible approval of a spot XRP ETF. Bloomberg ETF experts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas already see a 95% probability of XRP ETF approval. At the same time, Polymarket offers over 80% odds of approval this year. This gap in attitudes has sparked confusion and highlights a need to better understand the dynamics driving each.

Factors Influencing Price Movements

But despite all the bullish sentiment, not everyone is convinced of XRP’s rosy future. ThrowingToken.com thinks it’s crucial to look at the bullish and bearish arguments equally. Many analysts argue that XRP’s long-term growth prospects could be increasingly limited in the years ahead. They cite increasing competition from other cryptocurrencies and looming regulatory issues as the main reasons.

Regulatory Developments: The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC continues to cast a shadow over XRP. Any adverse rulings or regulatory setbacks could negatively impact its price.
ETF Approval: The potential approval of a spot XRP ETF is a major catalyst that could drive significant price appreciation.
Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, as well as specific sentiment towards XRP, plays a crucial role in price fluctuations.
Technical Analysis: Technical indicators and chart patterns provide insights into potential support and resistance levels, helping traders make informed decisions.
Stablecoin Integration: The integration of stablecoins into the XRP ecosystem could enhance its utility and drive adoption, potentially boosting its price.

Expert Insights: Why 2026 May Not Be Promising

XRP is now stuck in a bearish channel. While it has been putting in higher lows since the end of May, a definitive structural change hasn’t developed so far. This pattern indicates strong accumulation in the market. That’s not enough to overcome the still bearish trend that’s been in place. If this support at 1.80 USDT breaks, it will send a strong bearish signal. This would potentially cause a plunge down to 1.60 USDT.

Analysis of Market Trends

Experts offer diverse opinions on XRP's future. In fact, many experts are saying that the approval of a spot XRP ETF is inevitable. They hope it will set off a massive bull run for XRP’s price. Still, others are skeptical, pointing to the lack of regulatory clarity that still pervades the space and increasing competition from other cryptocurrencies. ThowingToken.com encourages all of its investors to justly analyze all sides and do thorough research before making any investment.

Expert Opinions on Future Developments

Technical analysis is an essential tool for determining prospective price movements. Using this, it draws on past price movements to identify the most significant support/resistance lines. At present, XRP has a few resistance levels in its path that might cap its bullish momentum.

XRP's Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels

Trendline resistance occurs when a line can be drawn connecting a series of successively lower peaks on a price chart. This line serves as a resistance level, keeping the price from rising any further. As XRP’s current bear channel shows, there’s significant trendline resistance, meaning any bullish movements might be heavily capped.

Resistance begins immediately at $2.0390 (today’s high), followed by the key 200-day EMA at $2.0946.
The 20-day EMA at $2.1562 sits 7.7% above the current price, while the 50-day EMA at $2.2113 represents 10.5% overhead resistance.
The 100-day EMA at $2.2302 and the 200-day EMA at $2.0946 cluster between 4.6% and 11.4% above current levels.
Other resistance levels include 2.15 USDT (intermediate), 2.40 USDT (primary resistance), and 2.86 USDT (annual high).

Understanding Trendline Resistance

XRP faces major obstacles ahead of its attempt to escape the ongoing bear channel. As if this challenge weren’t daunting enough, the presence of multiple resistance levels further complicates matters. A consistent close above 2.20 USDT will indicate a true reversal. With this trading volume well above the weekly average, if this continues, we’ll have even stronger bullish confirmation. Until then, investors need to be careful and not make any leveraged entries close to important supports.

Implications for Future Price Movements

XRP’s present market conditions remain one filled with mixed signals and confusion. The likely approval of a spot XRP ETF would set a bullish tone. Yet regulatory challenges and bearish technical indicators should give investors pause. For more prudent investment, ThrowingToken.com suggests investors dedicate adequate time understanding all aspects.

Conclusion: Market Outlook and Expectations

XRP could experience massive price gains if a spot ETF is approved. Throwingtoken.com recommends that investors pay special attention to risk management. The following strategies are recommended:

Summary of Key Points

Three possible scenarios:
- ETF-Driven Breakout (Bull Case – 35% Probability): ETF approval announcement could catalyze rapid price appreciation toward $2.80–$3.20.
- Range-Bound Consolidation (Base Case – 40% Probability): XRP may continue trading within the $1.95–$2.25 range pending news about ETF approval and broader market direction.
- Regulatory Setback Correction (Bear Case – 25% Probability): ETF delays or adverse regulatory developments could trigger selling toward $1.65–$1.80 support levels.
Resistance begins immediately at $2.0390 (today’s high), followed by the key 200-day EMA at $2.0946. The 200-day EMA at $2.0946 represents the nearest major resistance level, requiring only a 4.6% rally to test this key technical threshold.
A breakdown below $1.95 with volume expansion would indicate a potential deeper correction toward May’s $1.80 support zone.
The confirmation of a real reversal will only come with a stable close above 2.20 USDT, accompanied by an increase in volumes beyond the weekly average.
Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have their odds of XRP ETF approval to 95%.
A spot XRP ETF is still possible later this year, with Polymarket odds exceeding 80%.
XRP is currently moving in a bear channel, with rising lows starting from the end of May but without a clear structural reversal.
Analysts warn that XRP could soon spiral toward $1—or lower—due to fresh technical breakdowns, bearish trader sentiment, and shrinking network activity.
Recommended strategies:
- Avoid leveraged entries near sensitive supports
- Utilize dynamic stop-losses just below critical levels (e.g., 1.77 USDT)
- Closely monitor volumes and regulatory news
- Evaluate entries only above 2.15 USDT with solid confirmations

Final Thoughts on XRP's Future

By adhering to these principles, investors can better understand the risks and opportunities presented by the XRP market while making more prudent investment decisions.